China could be hit with more than 630,000 COVID-19-related infections per day if the country renounces its zero tolerance policies and lifted travel restrictions, as per an analysis by Peking University mathematicians.
In the report that was published within China CDC Weekly from the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention Mathematicians declared that China cannot afford to remove travel restrictions without better vaccines or special treatment options.
Utilizing data from August for in the United States, Britain, Spain, France and Israel Mathematicians analyzed the likely outcomes should China used the same strategies for controlling pandemics that these countries.
China’s daily cases of new cases could exceed 637,155 in the event that it followed this United States’ pandemic strategy in the report.
The daily average would be the 275,793 mark If China followed the same path that it did in Britain and 454,198 if it modeled itself after France It said.
“The estimates revealed the real possibility of a colossal outbreak which would almost certainly induce an unaffordable burden on the medical system,” the report said.
“Our findings have raised a clear warning that, for the time being, we are not ready to embrace ‘open-up’ strategies resting solely on the hypothesis of herd immunity induced by vaccination advocated by certain western countries.”
Mathematicians were careful to note that their calculations were based on simple math calculations, and they suggested that more sophisticated models were required to analyze the development of the pandemic in the event that the travel restrictions were removed.
China is a country that has a zero tolerance policy against COVID-19. They claim the importance of stopping localized cases once they are discovered outweighs the problems that are caused by efforts to track or isolate and treat those infected.
China reported 23 confirmed cases of coronavirus for the month of Nov. 27, a drop from 25 cases a day earlier according to the health authorities on Sunday.
The World Health Organization (WHO) on Friday formally recognized a new COVID-19 variant that was discovered by a researcher in South Africa with a large number of mutations to be “of concern”, prompting certain countries to enforce travel restrictions
(Adapted from BusinessToday.in)