Good Shingles Vaccine Sales Prompts GSK To Raise Profit Forecast

The sale of shingles vaccine of GlaxoSmithKline beat market expectations and the continued good performance of the company’s older medicines, including HIV treatments prompted the drug making company to raise its annual profit forecast for the second time this year.

Following the announcement by the British drug maker about its expectations of profit for the year to by roughly flat at constant currency resulted in the shares of the company rising as much as 3 per cent. The company had earlier forecast a drop in yearly profits of between 3 and 5 per cent.

Since taking over in 2017, a plan to rejuvenate GSK has been chalked out by the company’s CEO Emma Walmsley. That plan includes a spin off or sale of a number of businesses of the company. Further, a joint venture for over the counter product that include Sensodyne toothpaste and Panadol painkillers, has been forged by the company with Pfizer’s consumer health division as a part of the plan.

The company has also been able to focus more on its pharmaceuticals business as well as to create a new pipeline of treatments, including its shingles vaccine, Shingrix, because of GSK’s leaner structure.

The vaccine’s performance was praised by Walmsley because it has done better than the expectations of the company.

“Shingrix will be a material contributor to the company’s growth for some time,” she told reporters.

GSK has sometimes found it hard to keep up with demand. “Obviously it (Shingrix) has performed ahead of our initial expectations, which is why we have been working extremely hard on improving and accelerating our supply,” Walmsley said.

There was a 76 per cent jump in the sales of the vaccine at £535 million, which was launched in 2017, which was way beyond what analysts had been expecting at £464 million because of good sale in the United Sales where doctors are making more recommendations for immunisation for patients. In the third quarter, this performance propelled the vaccines business of GSK to register a growth of 15 per cent to reach £2.31 billion which surpassed consensus estimates.

In the first nine months of this year, the sale of Shingrix have already reached £1.24 billion and it seems that the business is likely to beat estimates of analysts at £1.52 billion for the entire 2019.

A lower expected effective tax rate of around 17% for the year, increased investment in research and development and operating performance was reflected in the new profit forecast, the company said.

The US drug maker Pfizer’s older brands helped to boost the sale of GSK’s joint venture with Pfizer with sale at £2.53 billion.

“Any difference between the preparation for the risk of a no-deal scenario and an ordered planned one in January is de minimis because that all happened over the last couple of years,” Walmsley said.

(Adapted from

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