Washington’s Gamble in Caracas Signals a New Phase of U.S. Power Projection

President Donald Trump’s declaration that the United States will temporarily run Venezuela following the capture of its president marks one of the most consequential assertions of American authority in the Western Hemisphere in decades. The statement goes far beyond the immediate drama of a high-risk raid and the detention of a foreign leader. It signals an attempt to redefine the scope of U.S. intervention, blending law enforcement, energy security, and political control into a single executive-driven strategy that places Washington at the center of Venezuela’s future.

Trump framed the move as a necessary measure to ensure a “safe, proper and judicious transition,” arguing that the United States could not risk instability or the emergence of another hostile leadership. Yet the declaration immediately raised questions about feasibility, legality, and intent. By openly discussing governance, oil management, and the possibility of deploying U.S. forces, the administration crossed from coercive diplomacy into the language of occupation, reshaping how America’s role in the region is perceived at home and abroad.

From capture to control: the logic of temporary governance

The administration’s reasoning rests on the idea that removing a leader without managing the aftermath creates a dangerous vacuum. Trump’s assertion that the U.S. would “run the country” reflects an assumption that Venezuela’s institutions, long hollowed out by economic collapse and political repression, cannot independently manage a transition once the top leadership is removed. In this view, temporary American oversight is presented as a stabilizing bridge rather than an open-ended commitment.

This logic draws on past interventions where Washington argued that disengagement would invite chaos, criminal networks, or rival powers to fill the gap. By positioning U.S. control as provisional, Trump sought to distinguish the move from long-term nation-building. However, the absence of a clear governing framework or named civilian authority underscores the uncertainty embedded in the plan. The gap between the ambition to oversee a transition and the lack of detail about how it would be executed exposes the risk that “temporary” control could stretch indefinitely under pressure of events on the ground.

Oil, infrastructure, and the economic rationale

A central pillar of Trump’s argument is Venezuela’s vast oil wealth. By proposing that major U.S. energy companies refurbish and operate degraded infrastructure, the administration linked political control directly to economic recovery. The message was twofold: Venezuela’s collapse is reversible, and American expertise is the fastest path to restoring production. Trump further argued that oil revenues could offset the costs of U.S. involvement, portraying the intervention as fiscally self-sustaining.

This framing serves a political purpose, tying foreign action to domestic concerns such as energy prices and supply security. It also reflects a transactional worldview in which strategic resources justify extraordinary measures. Critics, however, see a contradiction between portraying the operation as a law enforcement action against narcotics trafficking and repeatedly emphasizing oil. The prominence of energy in the narrative fuels skepticism that economic interests, rather than purely humanitarian or legal considerations, are driving the scale of U.S. involvement.

Despite the bold rhetoric, the United States does not exercise physical control over Venezuela’s territory, military, or bureaucracy. Government functions continue under existing structures, and senior officials have publicly rejected Washington’s claims of authority. This disconnect highlights a central tension: declaring governance is far easier than enforcing it. Without broad compliance from Venezuelan institutions or a substantial on-the-ground presence, U.S. oversight risks being largely symbolic.

Trump’s openness to deploying “boots on the ground” underscores how quickly the situation could escalate. Military deployment would transform the operation from a limited strike and detention into a sustained intervention, with all the attendant risks of insurgency, regional spillover, and domestic backlash. The administration’s confidence contrasts with the complex realities of governing a fractured state, where legitimacy cannot be imposed solely through force or economic leverage.

Power vacuums and regional repercussions

The removal of Nicolás Maduro creates immediate uncertainty across Venezuela’s borders. The country sits at a crossroads of South America and the Caribbean, and instability has historically driven migration, smuggling, and political tension across the region. Trump’s dismissal of established opposition figures as potential partners further complicates the transition, narrowing the field of actors Washington is willing to engage.

Regional reactions reflect deep unease. While some governments welcomed the prospect of change in Caracas, others warned that unilateral U.S. control revives memories of past interventions that left lasting scars. The fear is that even a short-lived American role could entrench divisions, provoke nationalist resistance, and invite counter-moves from global powers with interests in Venezuela.

Trump’s language inevitably evokes earlier U.S. interventions justified on grounds of illegitimacy, criminality, or regional security. From Panama to Iraq, the pattern has often been swift initial success followed by prolonged involvement as Washington grapples with the complexities of post-removal governance. Trump has long criticized those episodes, yet his current stance mirrors some of their underlying assumptions: that decisive action can reset political systems and that American oversight is a necessary corrective.

The invocation of a personalized doctrine, playfully dubbed the “Donroe Doctrine,” underscores the symbolic weight of the move. It signals an embrace of hemispheric assertiveness that contrasts sharply with decades of rhetoric emphasizing sovereignty and partnership. For Latin America, the symbolism may matter as much as the substance, shaping perceptions of U.S. intentions for years to come.

Domestic political calculations and risks

At home, the decision introduces significant political risk. Foreign interventions rarely rank high among voter priorities, yet they can quickly dominate headlines when costs rise or objectives blur. Trump’s assurance that the operation would not burden U.S. taxpayers recalls earlier claims made before costly conflicts, inviting skepticism from critics and even from parts of his own political base.

The intervention also complicates Trump’s “America First” narrative. While supporters may accept action framed as protecting U.S. borders from drugs or stabilizing energy markets, extended involvement in governing another country strains the promise of avoiding foreign entanglements. Visible dissent from within MAGA-aligned circles suggests that the move could fracture the coalition that propelled Trump to power, especially if events in Venezuela deteriorate.

By declaring that the United States will run Venezuela, Trump elevated a tactical success into a sweeping strategic commitment. The statement reflects confidence in American capacity to manage complex transitions and a willingness to test the limits of executive authority in foreign affairs. Yet it also exposes the administration to the very pitfalls Trump once warned against: mission creep, unclear endgames, and the heavy burden of governing a nation in crisis.

Whether the move reshapes Venezuela’s trajectory or becomes another cautionary tale will depend less on the audacity of the initial operation than on the coherence of what follows. For now, the declaration stands as a defining moment, signaling that the United States under Trump is prepared not only to remove adversaries but to assume responsibility for what comes next—however uncertain that path may be.

(Adapted from Reuters.com)

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